Commentary on Mortgage lending statistics Q4 2023

The FCA and the Prudential Regulatory Authority (PRA) both have responsibility for the regulation of mortgage lenders and administrators. We jointly publish the mortgage lending statistics every quarter.

Since the beginning of 2007, around 340 regulated mortgage lenders and administrators have been required to submit a Mortgage Lending and Administration Return (MLAR) each quarter, providing data on their mortgage lending activities.

Key findings

  • The outstanding value of all residential mortgage loans decreased by 0.1% from the previous quarter to £1,657.6 billion, and was 1.1% lower than a year earlier (Table A).
     
  • The value of gross mortgage advances decreased by 13.4% from the previous quarter to £54.0 billion, and was 33.8% lower than a year earlier (Table A and Chart 1).
     
  • The value of new mortgage commitments (lending agreed to be advanced in the coming months) decreased by 6.6% from the previous quarter to £46.0 billion, and was 21.2% lower than a year earlier (Table A and Chart 1). If the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic is excluded, this was the lowest observed since 2013 Q1.
     
  • The proportion of lending to borrowers with a high loan to income (LTI) ratio decreased by 2.6pp from the previous quarter to 42.7%, and was 6.6pp lower than a year earlier (Chart 4).
     
  • The share of gross mortgage advances for house purchase for owner occupation increased by 1.0pp from the previous quarter to 58.7%, and was 3.3pp higher than a year earlier (Chart 5).
     
  • The share of gross advances for remortgages for owner occupation decreased by 0.8pp from the previous quarter to 29.7%, but was 2.3pp higher than a year earlier (Chart 5).
     
  • The share of gross mortgage advances for buy-to-let purposes (covering house purchase, remortgage and further advance) decreased by 0.5pp from the previous quarter to 7.0%, the lowest since 2010 Q3, and 4.9pp lower than a year earlier (Chart 5).
     
  • New arrears cases decreased by 2.6pp from the previous quarter, to 13.2% of the total outstanding balances with arrears, but remained 0.2pp higher than a year earlier.
     
  • The value of outstanding mortgage balances with arrears increased by 9.2% from the previous quarter, to £20.3 billion, and was 50.3% higher than a year earlier (Chart 6). The proportion of the total loan balances with arrears, relative to all outstanding mortgage balances, increased on the quarter from 1.12% to 1.23%, the highest since 2016 Q4.

Download the data from the charts below - MLAR statistics: detailed tables (Excel)

Chart tips: hover over the data series to view the data values and filter the data categories by clicking on the legend. 

Table A: Residential loans to individuals, flows and balances

Regulated and non-regulated mortgages* - £ billions - Not seasonally adjusted

 

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

 

2022

 

 

 

2023

 

 

 

Business flows

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross advances

76.9

78.0

85.9

81.6

58.8

52.4

62.3

54.0

New commitments

82.5

84.0

87.8

58.3

48.9

61.7

49.2

46.0
                 

Residential loan amounts outstanding

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Regulated and Non-regulated

1,630.8

1,648.8

1,666.5

1,675.3

1,674.9

1,655.0

1,658.9

1,657.6

*This data covers regulated mortgage lending, and non-regulated mortgage lending by firms which undertake regulated mortgage lending or administration of regulated mortgages.

Chart

Data table

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The value of gross mortgage advances decreased by 13.4% (£8.3 billion) from the previous quarter to £54.0 billion, and was 33.8% lower than a year earlier (Table A and Chart 1).

The value of new mortgage commitments (lending agreed to be advanced in the coming months) decreased by 6.6% from the previous quarter to £46.0 billion, and was 21.2% lower than a year earlier (Table A and Chart 1). If the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic is excluded, this was the lowest observed since 2013 Q1.

Chart

Data table

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The share of gross mortgage advances with interest rates less than 2% above Bank Rate decreased by 0.9 percentage points (pp) from the previous quarter to 95.1%, marking the second consecutive decrease since 2021 Q2 (before the increases in Bank Rate), but remained 1.5pp higher than a year ago (Chart 2).

The share of advances with interest rates between 2% and 3% above Bank Rate increased over the quarter to 2.2% from 2.0%, while the share of advances with interest rates 3% or more above Bank Rate increased by 0.7pp from the previous quarter to 2.7%.

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The share of gross mortgage advances with loan-to-value (LTV) ratios exceeding 90% increased by 0.5pp from the previous quarter to 5.5%, the highest since 2019 Q4, and was 0.4pp higher than a year ago (Chart 3).

Within this, the share of mortgages advances with LTVs over 95% has increased from the previous quarter to 0.4%. This is the highest since 2016 Q4.

The share of mortgages advanced in 2023 Q4 with LTV ratios exceeding 75% increased by 0.6pp on the quarter to 39.5%. This is 2.5pp higher than a year earlier and the highest since 2021 Q3.

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The proportion of lending to borrowers with a high loan to income (LTI) ratio decreased by 2.6pp from the previous quarter to 42.7%, and was 6.6pp lower than a year earlier (Chart 4). Borrowers with high LTI are defined here as:

  • Borrowers with single income who had a LTI ratio of 4 or above. This remained unchanged from the previous quarter, at 8.9% of gross mortgage lending.
  • Borrowers with a joint income who had a LTI ratio of 3 or above. This decreased by 2.6pp to the lowest since 2020 Q2, at 33.8% of gross mortgage lending.

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The share of gross mortgage advances for buy-to-let purposes decreased by 0.5pp from the previous quarter to 7.0%, the lowest since 2010 Q3, and 4.9pp lower than a year earlier (Chart 5). The share of advances to owner occupiers was 93.0%.

Of the 93.0% of advances for owner occupiers, the share of gross advances for remortgages decreased by 0.8pp from the previous quarter to 29.7%, but was 2.3pp higher than a year earlier. The share for house purchase increased by 1.0pp from the previous quarter to 58.7%, and was 3.3pp higher than a year earlier. Further advances and other mortgages (including lifetime mortgages) accounted for 4.7% of gross advances in total.

Of the 58.7% of advances for house purchases by owner occupiers, lending to first-time buyers increased by 1.2pp from the previous quarter to 27.1% of gross advances, the highest since reporting began in 2007, and was 3.0pp higher than a year earlier. The share advanced to home movers decreased by 0.3pp from the previous quarter to 31.5%, but was 0.3pp higher from a year earlier.

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Data table

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New arrears cases decreased by 2.6pp from the previous quarter, to 13.2% of the total outstanding mortgage balances with arrears (defined as the borrower failing to make contractual payments equivalent to at least 1.5% of the outstanding mortgage balance or where the property is in possession).

The value of outstanding mortgage balances with arrears increased by 9.2% from the previous quarter to £20.3 billion. This was 50.3% higher than a year earlier (Chart 6).

The proportion of the total loan balances with arrears, relative to all outstanding mortgage balances, increased on the quarter from 1.12% to 1.23%. This is the highest since 2016 Q4.

Copyright

The data on this page is available under the terms of the Open Government Licence.